AI Must Earn Its Keep: Why Old-School Change Analysis Is Beating Shiny New Code

Personal copy of The Helix Factor Implementer’s Edition used as a reference for business process change analysis and value delivery design.

We’ve had The Helix Factor – Implementer’s Edition sitting on our shelf since 2000.

It’s not trendy.
It’s not algorithm-driven.
It doesn’t mention machine learning once.

Yet over the past two years, it’s been on heavy rotation in our projects.

That’s not nostalgia.

It’s necessity.

Because the number of organisations attempting to extract ROI from business process reengineering — while simultaneously deploying AI tools, integrations, automation layers, and bespoke software — has exploded.

And here’s what we’re seeing: Most teams are coding before they’re thinking.


The Shiny New Thing Problem

AI has democratised capability.

Organisations can spend an accessible amount of money and:

  • Build workflows in low-code tools

  • Deploy copilots

  • Integrate APIs

  • Spin up dashboards

  • Prototype systems in days

That’s extraordinary.

But speed without structural clarity creates digital clutter, not business transformation.

The mistake isn’t using AI.

The mistake is redesigning workflows without understanding what is actually adding value.

Workflows as Value Add Delivery Systems

One of the most enduring ideas from the Helix methodology is viewing workflows not as task sequences, but as Value Add Delivery Systems (VADS).

Workflow diagram overlaying a detailed product brief, illustrating change analysis and value add delivery system design.

Every business process exists to deliver value.

If it doesn’t:

  • Reduce friction

  • Increase certainty

  • Shorten cycle time

  • Improve quality

  • Lower cost

  • Reduce risk

… then it’s noise.

Before writing a line of code, the most valuable time invested in any transformation project is still:

Change analysis.

Not platform selection.
Not integration planning.
Not UI design.

Change analysis.

Why This Matters More in the AI Era

In the early 2000s, software was expensive.
Coding was slower.
Projects had natural friction.

Now?

We can build almost anything.

Which means the constraint is no longer technology.

The constraint is clarity.

AI amplifies whatever system it touches.

If the underlying workflow is:

  • Redundant

  • Politically distorted

  • Over-controlled

  • Poorly defined

  • Built around legacy assumptions

AI will optimise the wrong thing faster.

We’re finding that foundational strategic toolkits — the kind that force you to map value, analyse waste, identify friction, and quantify the delta — are more relevant now than they were 20 years ago.

Not less.


It’s Time for AI to Earn Its Keep

AI is not a strategy.

It’s a multiplier.

If you haven’t defined:

  • What value is being delivered

  • Where waste is occurring

  • What the measurable delta looks like

  • What ‘better’ means in numbers

Then you’re automating activity.

Not delivering ROI.

In every serious transformation initiative we’ve worked on recently, the breakthrough moment didn’t come from the model or the tool.

It came from sitting with stakeholders and asking:

  • What value is actually being created here?

  • What step exists purely because “that’s how we’ve always done it”?

  • What would this look like if we started from zero?

  • Where does rework hide?

  • What is the cost of delay?

  • What is the cost of confusion?

Only after that conversation does code become powerful.

The Hidden Cost of Skipping Change Analysis

When organisations skip structured change analysis, three things happen:

  1. They digitise legacy inefficiencies.

  2. They add layers rather than removing them.

  3. They struggle to prove ROI.

And without provable ROI, transformation initiatives lose political capital.

Which is why we’re seeing a renewed interest in disciplined implementation frameworks.

Not because they’re fashionable.

Because they work.

The Strategic Toolbox Still Wins

The foundational strategic disciplines still matter:

  • Mapping value streams

  • Conducting change impact analysis

  • Identifying friction and failure points

  • Quantifying baseline performance

  • Designing future-state systems intentionally

AI doesn’t replace these tools.

It increases the return on using them properly.

The more powerful the technology becomes, the more important structured thinking becomes.


From Plan to Proof

At Arrow, we’re seeing this pattern repeatedly:

The organisations that win in the AI era aren’t the ones adopting tools fastest.

They’re the ones who:

  1. Define value clearly.

  2. Analyse change before coding.

  3. Remove waste deliberately.

  4. Implement technology against measurable KPIs.

  5. Track the delta.

AI earns its keep when it reduces:

  • Time

  • Cost

  • Errors

  • Friction

  • Emissions

  • Headcount pressure

If it can’t demonstrate a measurable shift, it’s a feature — not a transformation.

A Final Thought

The Helix framework is 25 years old.

AI in the workplace is less than five.

Yet the discipline required to redesign a Value Add Delivery System hasn’t changed.

If anything, it’s more valuable than ever.

The tools evolve.

The fundamentals endure.

And in a world racing to build the next shiny thing, the competitive advantage belongs to those who pause just long enough to ask:

“Where is the real value, and how do we redesign the system before we automate it?”

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